Esports World Cup 2026 Open Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
EYEBALLERS#43 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
K27#44 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientEYEBALLERS pick
64%67%
EYEBALLERS · 7 mapsnearly even -3%K27 · 11 maps
MirageK27 pick
29%61%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsedge K27 +32%K27 · 14 maps
NukeK27 ban
50%22%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +28%K27 · 14 maps
Dust2EYEBALLERS ban
43%70%
EYEBALLERS · 3 mapsedge K27 +27%K27 · 6 maps
AnubisK27 ban
67%44%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge EYEBALLERS +23%K27 · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%60%
EYEBALLERS · 1 mapnearly even +0%K27 · 6 maps
CacheEYEBALLERS ban
33%75%
EYEBALLERS · 2 mapsedge K27 +42%K27 · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanEYEBALLERS remove Dust2
2. BanK27 remove Anubis
3. PickEYEBALLERS take Ancient
4. PickK27 take Mirage
5. BanK27 remove Nuke
6. BanEYEBALLERS remove Cache
DeciderOverpass (60% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct11:13
EYEBALLERS 18%K27 82%
The model gave 82% on K27 — the map was taken by K27.
Anubisprediction missed14:16
EYEBALLERS 74%K27 26%
The model gave 74% on EYEBALLERS — the map was taken by K27.
Model check result
Model favoriteEYEBALLERS · 52%
Series resultK27 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2