Tipsport Open Cup 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
INFURITY#115 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientINFURITY pick
40%60%
FAFO · 1 mapedge INFURITY +20%INFURITY · 1 map
AnubisFAFO pick
60%40%
FAFO · 1 mapedge FAFO +20%INFURITY · 1 map
InfernoFAFO ban
50%40%
FAFO · 0 mapsedge FAFO +10%INFURITY · 1 map
MirageINFURITY ban
60%50%
FAFO · 1 mapedge FAFO +10%INFURITY · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFAFO remove Inferno
2. BanINFURITY remove Mirage
3. PickFAFO take Anubis
4. PickINFURITY take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed11:13
FAFO 72%INFURITY 28%
The model gave 72% on FAFO — the map was taken by INFURITY.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
FAFO 47%INFURITY 53%
The model gave 53% on INFURITY — the map was taken by INFURITY.
Model check result
Model favoriteINFURITY · 58%
Series resultINFURITY 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2