CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
53%60%
Fake do Biru · 15 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +7%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
NukeFake do Biru ban
62%40%
Fake do Biru · 9 mapsedge Fake do Biru +22%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
InfernoBORRACHEIROS ban
45%40%
Fake do Biru · 7 mapsedge Fake do Biru +5%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
MirageFake do Biru ban
33%60%
Fake do Biru · 5 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +27%BORRACHEIROS · 1 map
AnubisBORRACHEIROS pick
44%50%
Fake do Biru · 5 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +6%BORRACHEIROS · 0 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%67%
Fake do Biru · 1 mapedge BORRACHEIROS +7%BORRACHEIROS · 2 maps
OverpassBORRACHEIROS ban
50%50%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsnearly even +0%BORRACHEIROS · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFake do Biru remove Mirage
2. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Inferno
3. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
4. PickBORRACHEIROS take Anubis
5. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Overpass
6. BanFake do Biru remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (60% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
Fake do Biru 43%BORRACHEIROS 57%
The model gave 57% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by BORRACHEIROS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFake do Biru · 53%
Series resultBORRACHEIROS 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 1