Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fake do Biru pick
53%65%
Fake do Biru · 15 mapsedge UNO MILLE +12%UNO MILLE · 16 maps
InfernoUNO MILLE pick
50%57%
Fake do Biru · 6 mapsedge UNO MILLE +7%UNO MILLE · 10 maps
NukeUNO MILLE ban
64%64%
Fake do Biru · 7 mapsnearly even +0%UNO MILLE · 7 maps
AnubisFake do Biru ban
44%64%
Fake do Biru · 5 mapsedge UNO MILLE +20%UNO MILLE · 7 maps
MirageUNO MILLE ban
33%44%
Fake do Biru · 5 mapsedge UNO MILLE +11%UNO MILLE · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%58%
Fake do Biru · 2 mapsedge UNO MILLE +8%UNO MILLE · 8 maps
AncientFake do Biru ban
50%60%
Fake do Biru · 0 mapsedge UNO MILLE +10%UNO MILLE · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFake do Biru remove Ancient
2. BanUNO MILLE remove Mirage
3. PickFake do Biru take Dust2
4. PickUNO MILLE take Inferno
5. BanUNO MILLE remove Nuke
6. BanFake do Biru remove Anubis
DeciderOverpass (50% / 58%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:10
Fake do Biru 47%UNO MILLE 53%
The model gave 53% on UNO MILLE — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Nukeprediction correct13:10
Fake do Biru 53%UNO MILLE 47%
The model gave 53% on Fake do Biru — the map was taken by Fake do Biru.
Model check result
Model favoriteUNO MILLE · 51%
Series resultFake do Biru 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2