FOX Legacy Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Falcons Force#152 in the world · loss 4:13series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 4:13
PURE#126 in the world · win 13:4The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageFalcons Force ban
46%40%
Falcons Force · 9 mapsedge Falcons Force +6%PURE · 6 maps
CachePURE ban
69%50%
Falcons Force · 9 mapsedge Falcons Force +19%PURE · 2 maps
NukeFalcons Force ban
31%50%
Falcons Force · 9 mapsedge PURE +19%PURE · 2 maps
Infernopossible decider
62%40%
Falcons Force · 9 mapsedge Falcons Force +22%PURE · 1 map
AncientPURE ban
57%50%
Falcons Force · 3 mapsedge Falcons Force +7%PURE · 2 maps
AnubisPURE ban
67%50%
Falcons Force · 5 mapsedge Falcons Force +17%PURE · 0 maps
Dust2Falcons Force ban
33%67%
Falcons Force · 2 mapsedge PURE +34%PURE · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons Force remove Dust2
2. BanPURE remove Anubis
3. BanFalcons Force remove Nuke
4. BanPURE remove Ancient
5. BanFalcons Force remove Mirage
6. BanPURE remove Cache
DeciderInferno (62% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
Falcons Force 71%PURE 29%
The model gave 71% on Falcons Force — the map was taken by PURE.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons Force · 56%
Series resultPURE 4:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1