BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons#5 in the world · win 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
G2#7 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Falcons pick
69%36%
Falcons · 12 mapsedge Falcons +33%G2 · 7 maps
MirageFalcons ban
50%71%
Falcons · 6 mapsedge G2 +21%G2 · 10 maps
InfernoG2 pick
55%83%
Falcons · 7 mapsedge G2 +28%G2 · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
40%33%
Falcons · 6 mapsedge Falcons +7%G2 · 8 maps
AnubisG2 ban
67%36%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Falcons +31%G2 · 7 maps
OverpassFalcons ban
50%67%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge G2 +17%G2 · 5 maps
NukeG2 ban
57%50%
Falcons · 3 mapsedge Falcons +7%G2 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons remove Overpass
2. BanG2 remove Nuke
3. PickFalcons take Dust2
4. PickG2 take Inferno
5. BanG2 remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (40% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:6
Falcons 18%G2 82%
The model gave 82% on G2 — the map was taken by Falcons.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Falcons 81%G2 19%
The model gave 81% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 82%
Series resultFalcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2