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BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons#5 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Lynn Vision#39 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Falcons pick
64%40%
Falcons · 10 mapsedge Falcons +24%Lynn Vision · 6 maps
InfernoFalcons ban
56%50%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Falcons +6%Lynn Vision · 8 maps
Ancientpossible decider
57%33%
Falcons · 3 mapsedge Falcons +24%Lynn Vision · 5 maps
AnubisLynn Vision ban
67%50%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Falcons +17%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
MirageLynn Vision ban
44%50%
Falcons · 5 mapsedge Lynn Vision +6%Lynn Vision · 0 maps
NukeLynn Vision pick
50%67%
Falcons · 2 mapsedge Lynn Vision +17%Lynn Vision · 2 maps
OverpassFalcons ban
50%60%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Lynn Vision +10%Lynn Vision · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons remove Overpass
2. BanLynn Vision remove Mirage
3. PickFalcons take Dust2
4. PickLynn Vision take Nuke
5. BanLynn Vision remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons remove Inferno
DeciderAncient (57% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
Falcons 53%Lynn Vision 47%
The model gave 53% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Ancientprediction missed10:13
Falcons 75%Lynn Vision 25%
The model gave 75% on Falcons — the map was taken by Lynn Vision.
Dust2prediction correct13:9
Falcons 73%Lynn Vision 27%
The model gave 73% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 90%
Series resultFalcons 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3