CS Asia Championships 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Falcons#5 in the world · win 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
M80#27 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
67%67%
Falcons · 8 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 2 maps
AncientFalcons pick
63%33%
Falcons · 4 mapsedge Falcons +30%M80 · 2 maps
MirageFalcons ban
50%50%
Falcons · 4 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 2 maps
InfernoFalcons ban
40%43%
Falcons · 1 mapnearly even -3%M80 · 3 maps
DefaultM80 pick
50%67%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge M80 +17%M80 · 2 maps
NukeM80 ban
50%50%
Falcons · 2 mapsnearly even +0%M80 · 0 maps
AnubisM80 ban
50%40%
Falcons · 0 mapsedge Falcons +10%M80 · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFalcons remove Inferno
2. BanM80 remove Nuke
3. PickFalcons take Ancient
4. PickM80 take Default
5. BanM80 remove Anubis
6. BanFalcons remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (67% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed19:15
Falcons 44%M80 56%
The model gave 56% on M80 — the map was taken by Falcons.
Ancientprediction correct13:11
Falcons 79%M80 21%
The model gave 79% on Falcons — the map was taken by Falcons.
Model check result
Model favoriteFalcons · 82%
Series resultFalcons 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2