NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
FAVBET#105 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Oxuji#173 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeOxuji pick
50%78%
FAVBET · 4 mapsedge Oxuji +28%Oxuji · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
38%71%
FAVBET · 4 mapsedge Oxuji +33%Oxuji · 3 maps
Dust2Oxuji ban
50%44%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +6%Oxuji · 5 maps
InfernoFAVBET pick
67%40%
FAVBET · 2 mapsedge FAVBET +27%Oxuji · 1 map
AncientFAVBET ban
50%67%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge Oxuji +17%Oxuji · 2 maps
AnubisOxuji ban
40%40%
FAVBET · 1 mapnearly even +0%Oxuji · 1 map
MirageFAVBET ban
50%50%
FAVBET · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Oxuji · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFAVBET remove Mirage
2. BanOxuji remove Anubis
3. PickFAVBET take Inferno
4. PickOxuji take Nuke
5. BanOxuji remove Dust2
6. BanFAVBET remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (38% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct0:1
FAVBET 19%Oxuji 81%
The model gave 81% on Oxuji — the map was taken by Oxuji.
Model check result
Model favoriteOxuji · 53%
Series resultOxuji 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1