NODWIN Clutch Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
FAVBET#128 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Walczaki#44 in the world · win 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Default
50%40%
FAVBET · 0 mapsedge FAVBET +10%Walczaki · 1 map
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
FAVBET 60%Walczaki 40%
The model gave 60% on FAVBET — the map was taken by Walczaki.
Model check result
Model favoriteFAVBET · 51%
Series resultWalczaki 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1