XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · loss 6:13series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 6:13
MIBR#12 in the world · win 13:6The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
45%38%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge FaZe +7%MIBR · 4 maps
MirageMIBR ban
67%56%
FaZe · 5 mapsedge FaZe +11%MIBR · 5 maps
NukeFaZe ban
56%57%
FaZe · 5 mapsnearly even -1%MIBR · 3 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
38%67%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge MIBR +29%MIBR · 2 maps
Dust2MIBR ban
40%50%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge MIBR +10%MIBR · 0 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
50%38%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge FaZe +12%MIBR · 4 maps
OverpassMIBR ban
33%40%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge MIBR +7%MIBR · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Inferno
2. BanMIBR remove Dust2
3. BanFaZe remove Anubis
4. BanMIBR remove Overpass
5. BanFaZe remove Nuke
6. BanMIBR remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (45% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed6:13
FaZe 58%MIBR 42%
The model gave 58% on FaZe — the map was taken by MIBR.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 51%
Series resultMIBR 6:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1