XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · win 2:0series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 2:0
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSINNERS ban
42%29%
FaZe · 8 mapsedge FaZe +13%SINNERS · 3 maps
Dust2possible decider
40%43%
FaZe · 6 mapsnearly even -3%SINNERS · 3 maps
MirageSINNERS pick
67%63%
FaZe · 5 mapsnearly even +4%SINNERS · 4 maps
NukeFaZe pick
56%43%
FaZe · 5 mapsedge FaZe +13%SINNERS · 3 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
38%50%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge SINNERS +12%SINNERS · 0 maps
InfernoFaZe ban
50%25%
FaZe · 0 mapsedge FaZe +25%SINNERS · 4 maps
OverpassFaZe ban
33%67%
FaZe · 2 mapsedge SINNERS +34%SINNERS · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Inferno
2. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
3. PickFaZe take Nuke
4. PickSINNERS take Mirage
5. BanSINNERS remove Ancient
6. BanFaZe remove Overpass
DeciderDust2 (40% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
FaZe 52%SINNERS 48%
The model gave 52% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Ancientprediction correct13:2
FaZe 67%SINNERS 33%
The model gave 67% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Model check result
Model favoriteFaZe · 63%
Series resultFaZe 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2