BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals · BO3
result vs prediction
FaZe#14 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Spirit#1 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FaZe ban
36%71%
FaZe · 7 mapsedge Spirit +35%Spirit · 13 maps
Ancientpossible decider
53%78%
FaZe · 13 mapsedge Spirit +25%Spirit · 5 maps
MirageSpirit pick
69%77%
FaZe · 9 mapsedge Spirit +8%Spirit · 9 maps
AnubisFaZe ban
50%67%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge Spirit +17%Spirit · 5 maps
NukeSpirit ban
60%67%
FaZe · 6 mapsedge Spirit +7%Spirit · 2 maps
CacheFaZe pick
75%60%
FaZe · 4 mapsedge FaZe +15%Spirit · 1 map
OverpassSpirit ban
33%29%
FaZe · 2 mapsnearly even +4%Spirit · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFaZe remove Dust2
2. BanSpirit remove Overpass
3. PickFaZe take Cache
4. PickSpirit take Mirage
5. BanSpirit remove Nuke
6. BanFaZe remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (53% / 78%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
FaZe 17%Spirit 83%
The model gave 83% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Cacheprediction correct13:9
FaZe 69%Spirit 31%
The model gave 69% on FaZe — the map was taken by FaZe.
Anubisprediction correct11:13
FaZe 33%Spirit 67%
The model gave 67% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit · 76%
Series resultSpirit 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3