kleverr Azeron Baltic Superfinals 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeJumprava pick
40%50%
FERAX · 1 mapedge Jumprava +10%Jumprava · 2 maps
CacheJumprava ban
60%40%
FERAX · 1 mapedge FERAX +20%Jumprava · 1 map
Dust2FERAX ban
40%60%
FERAX · 1 mapedge Jumprava +20%Jumprava · 1 map
MirageFERAX pick
60%40%
FERAX · 1 mapedge FERAX +20%Jumprava · 1 map
AncientJumprava ban
40%50%
FERAX · 1 mapedge Jumprava +10%Jumprava · 0 maps
InfernoFERAX ban
50%60%
FERAX · 0 mapsedge Jumprava +10%Jumprava · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFERAX remove Dust2
2. BanJumprava remove Ancient
3. PickFERAX take Mirage
4. PickJumprava take Nuke
5. BanJumprava remove Cache
6. BanFERAX remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct9:13
FERAX 37%Jumprava 63%
The model gave 63% on Jumprava — the map was taken by Jumprava.
Mirageprediction missed16:19
FERAX 72%Jumprava 28%
The model gave 72% on FERAX — the map was taken by Jumprava.
Model check result
Model favoriteFERAX · 59%
Series resultJumprava 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2