CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fire Flux#103 in the world · win 2:0series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BIG Academy#215 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
50%38%
Fire Flux · 14 mapsedge Fire Flux +12%BIG Academy · 4 maps
MirageFire Flux ban
43%50%
Fire Flux · 10 mapsedge BIG Academy +7%BIG Academy · 4 maps
CacheFire Flux pick
57%57%
Fire Flux · 10 mapsnearly even +0%BIG Academy · 3 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
25%67%
Fire Flux · 4 mapsedge BIG Academy +42%BIG Academy · 8 maps
AnubisBIG Academy ban
67%40%
Fire Flux · 11 mapsedge Fire Flux +27%BIG Academy · 1 map
InfernoBIG Academy pick
64%60%
Fire Flux · 10 mapsnearly even +4%BIG Academy · 1 map
NukeBIG Academy ban
55%50%
Fire Flux · 7 mapsedge Fire Flux +5%BIG Academy · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
2. BanBIG Academy remove Anubis
3. PickFire Flux take Cache
4. PickBIG Academy take Inferno
5. BanBIG Academy remove Nuke
6. BanFire Flux remove Mirage
DeciderDust2 (50% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed16:13
Fire Flux 40%BIG Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on BIG Academy — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Anubisprediction correct13:5
Fire Flux 77%BIG Academy 23%
The model gave 77% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Model check result
Model favoriteFire Flux · 60%
Series resultFire Flux 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2