PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Open Qualifier 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#58 in the world · win 2:0series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeBack to Back ban
64%50%
Fluxo · 21 mapedge Fluxo +14%Back to Back · 0 maps
Dust2Fluxo pick
53%50%
Fluxo · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Back to Back · 0 maps
InfernoFluxo ban
54%50%
Fluxo · 9 mapsnearly even +4%Back to Back · 0 maps
MirageBack to Back ban
62%50%
Fluxo · 9 mapsedge Fluxo +12%Back to Back · 0 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
40%50%
Fluxo · 6 mapsedge Back to Back +10%Back to Back · 0 maps
CacheBack to Back pick
50%50%
Fluxo · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Back to Back · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Anubis
2. BanBack to Back remove Nuke
3. PickFluxo take Dust2
4. PickBack to Back take Cache
5. BanBack to Back remove Mirage
6. BanFluxo remove Inferno
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:4
Fluxo 67%Back to Back 33%
The model gave 67% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Fluxo 59%Back to Back 41%
The model gave 59% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 79%
Series resultFluxo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2