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Circuit X Curitiba Season 4 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Fluxo#60 in the world
series probability
42%58%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Galorys#69 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFluxo ban
50%79%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge Galorys +29%Galorys · 34 maps
NukeFluxo pick
58%69%
Fluxo · 20 mapsedge Galorys +11%Galorys · 12 maps
Dust2Fluxo ban
50%52%
Fluxo · 10 mapsnearly even -2%Galorys · 21 map
InfernoGalorys ban
59%36%
Fluxo · 13 mapsedge Fluxo +23%Galorys · 10 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%54%
Fluxo · 12 mapsnearly even -4%Galorys · 9 maps
AnubisGalorys pick
45%50%
Fluxo · 7 mapsedge Galorys +5%Galorys · 12 maps
MirageGalorys ban
71%50%
Fluxo · 17 mapsedge Fluxo +21%Galorys · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanGalorys remove Mirage
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickGalorys take Anubis
5. BanGalorys remove Inferno
6. BanFluxo remove Dust2
DeciderCache (50% / 54%)