BetBoom RUSH B Summit Season 4 · BO5
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 3:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Imperial#51 in the world · loss 2:3The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Fluxo pick
53%60%
Fluxo · 11 mapsedge Imperial +7%Imperial · 11 maps
InfernoImperial pick
38%76%
Fluxo · 4 mapsedge Imperial +38%Imperial · 13 maps
MirageImperial ban
75%59%
Fluxo · 4 mapsedge Fluxo +16%Imperial · 13 maps
NukeFluxo pick
62%64%
Fluxo · 9 mapsnearly even -2%Imperial · 7 maps
Anubispossible decider
44%60%
Fluxo · 5 mapsedge Imperial +16%Imperial · 6 maps
CacheImperial pick
40%63%
Fluxo · 1 mapedge Imperial +23%Imperial · 4 maps
AncientFluxo ban
29%50%
Fluxo · 3 mapsedge Imperial +21%Imperial · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanImperial remove Mirage
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickImperial take Inferno
5. PickFluxo take Dust2
6. PickImperial take Cache
DeciderAnubis (44% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed17:19
Fluxo 51%Imperial 49%
The model gave 51% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Imperial.
Cacheprediction missed16:13
Fluxo 26%Imperial 74%
The model gave 74% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Dust2prediction missed19:17
Fluxo 46%Imperial 54%
The model gave 54% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
Fluxo 65%Imperial 35%
The model gave 65% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Imperial.
Anubisprediction missed13:11
Fluxo 35%Imperial 65%
The model gave 65% on Imperial — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 52%
Series resultFluxo 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 5