CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Keyd Stars pick
56%55%
Fluxo · 12 mapsnearly even +1%Keyd Stars · 16 maps
NukeFluxo pick
60%38%
Fluxo · 11 mapsedge Fluxo +22%Keyd Stars · 12 maps
AncientFluxo ban
29%57%
Fluxo · 3 mapsedge Keyd Stars +28%Keyd Stars · 17 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%50%
Fluxo · 5 mapsedge Fluxo +17%Keyd Stars · 12 maps
AnubisFluxo ban
50%67%
Fluxo · 6 mapsedge Keyd Stars +17%Keyd Stars · 5 maps
InfernoKeyd Stars ban
38%33%
Fluxo · 4 mapsedge Fluxo +5%Keyd Stars · 2 maps
CacheKeyd Stars ban
57%40%
Fluxo · 3 mapsedge Fluxo +17%Keyd Stars · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Inferno
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickKeyd Stars take Dust2
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Cache
6. BanFluxo remove Anubis
DeciderMirage (67% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:9
Fluxo 74%Keyd Stars 26%
The model gave 74% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Fluxo 64%Keyd Stars 36%
The model gave 64% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 75%
Series resultFluxo 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2