CCT 2026 South America Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#56 in the world · win 2:1series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:1
paiN Academy#286 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2paiN Academy ban
40%47%
Fluxo · 6 mapsedge paiN Academy +7%paiN Academy · 11 maps
MiragepaiN Academy pick
67%44%
Fluxo · 2 mapsedge Fluxo +23%paiN Academy · 14 maps
Infernopossible decider
38%60%
Fluxo · 4 mapsedge paiN Academy +22%paiN Academy · 6 maps
AnubisFluxo pick
57%56%
Fluxo · 3 mapsnearly even +1%paiN Academy · 5 maps
NukepaiN Academy ban
50%50%
Fluxo · 2 mapsnearly even +0%paiN Academy · 4 maps
AncientFluxo ban
29%50%
Fluxo · 3 mapsedge paiN Academy +21%paiN Academy · 0 maps
DefaultFluxo ban
50%57%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge paiN Academy +7%paiN Academy · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanpaiN Academy remove Nuke
3. PickFluxo take Anubis
4. PickpaiN Academy take Mirage
5. BanpaiN Academy remove Dust2
6. BanFluxo remove Default
DeciderInferno (38% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct1:13
Fluxo 49%paiN Academy 51%
The model gave 51% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by paiN Academy.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
Fluxo 53%paiN Academy 47%
The model gave 53% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Fluxo 43%paiN Academy 57%
The model gave 57% on paiN Academy — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 64%
Series resultFluxo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3