PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Fluxo#58 in the world · win 2:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ShindeN#85 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeFluxo pick
62%50%
Fluxo · 25 mapsedge Fluxo +12%ShindeN · 8 maps
Dust2Fluxo ban
50%58%
Fluxo · 14 mapsedge ShindeN +8%ShindeN · 8 maps
InfernoShindeN pick
54%60%
Fluxo · 9 mapsedge ShindeN +6%ShindeN · 11 maps
MirageShindeN ban
71%44%
Fluxo · 13 mapsedge Fluxo +27%ShindeN · 5 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%40%
Fluxo · 8 mapsedge Fluxo +10%ShindeN · 6 maps
AncientFluxo ban
50%64%
Fluxo · 0 mapsedge ShindeN +14%ShindeN · 7 maps
AnubisShindeN ban
40%50%
Fluxo · 6 mapsedge ShindeN +10%ShindeN · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFluxo remove Ancient
2. BanShindeN remove Anubis
3. PickFluxo take Nuke
4. PickShindeN take Inferno
5. BanShindeN remove Mirage
6. BanFluxo remove Dust2
DeciderCache (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:5
Fluxo 77%ShindeN 23%
The model gave 77% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Infernoprediction correct10:13
Fluxo 41%ShindeN 59%
The model gave 59% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
Fluxo 60%ShindeN 40%
The model gave 60% on Fluxo — the map was taken by Fluxo.
Model check result
Model favoriteFluxo · 59%
Series resultFluxo 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3