ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#67 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Abyssal#165 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoFlyQuest pick
79%43%
FlyQuest · 10 mapsedge FlyQuest +36%Abyssal · 10 maps
Dust2Abyssal pick
79%69%
FlyQuest · 10 mapsedge FlyQuest +10%Abyssal · 9 maps
AnubisAbyssal ban
71%40%
FlyQuest · 10 mapsedge FlyQuest +31%Abyssal · 1 map
NukeAbyssal ban
75%36%
FlyQuest · 4 mapsedge FlyQuest +39%Abyssal · 7 maps
MirageFlyQuest ban
50%79%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsedge Abyssal +29%Abyssal · 10 maps
AncientFlyQuest ban
57%56%
FlyQuest · 3 mapsnearly even +1%Abyssal · 5 maps
Cachepossible decider
75%67%
FlyQuest · 4 mapsedge FlyQuest +8%Abyssal · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Mirage
2. BanAbyssal remove Anubis
3. PickFlyQuest take Inferno
4. PickAbyssal take Dust2
5. BanAbyssal remove Nuke
6. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
DeciderCache (75% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
FlyQuest 59%Abyssal 41%
The model gave 59% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Infernoprediction correct13:8
FlyQuest 85%Abyssal 15%
The model gave 85% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 75%
Series resultFlyQuest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2