PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Oceania Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#60 in the world · win 2:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Finishers#222 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisFinishers ban
73%40%
FlyQuest · 7 mapsedge FlyQuest +33%Finishers · 1 map
Dust2Finishers pick
70%50%
FlyQuest · 6 mapsedge FlyQuest +20%Finishers · 2 maps
InfernoFlyQuest pick
67%33%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +34%Finishers · 2 maps
NukeFlyQuest ban
67%67%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Finishers · 2 maps
CacheFlyQuest ban
67%40%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +27%Finishers · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsedge Finishers +10%Finishers · 1 map
AncientFinishers ban
60%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge FlyQuest +10%Finishers · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Cache
2. BanFinishers remove Anubis
3. PickFlyQuest take Inferno
4. PickFinishers take Dust2
5. BanFinishers remove Ancient
6. BanFlyQuest remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:0
FlyQuest 47%Finishers 53%
The model gave 53% on Finishers — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
FlyQuest 77%Finishers 23%
The model gave 77% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 77%
Series resultFlyQuest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2