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ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#67 in the world · win 13:7
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 13:7
KZG#182 in the world · loss 7:13
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2KZG ban
79%60%
FlyQuest · 10 mapsedge FlyQuest +19%KZG · 1 map
Infernopossible decider
75%50%
FlyQuest · 8 mapsedge FlyQuest +25%KZG · 2 maps
AnubisKZG ban
69%50%
FlyQuest · 9 mapsedge FlyQuest +19%KZG · 0 maps
AncientFlyQuest ban
57%40%
FlyQuest · 3 mapsedge FlyQuest +17%KZG · 1 map
CacheFlyQuest ban
75%50%
FlyQuest · 4 mapsedge FlyQuest +25%KZG · 0 maps
NukeKZG ban
75%50%
FlyQuest · 4 mapsedge FlyQuest +25%KZG · 0 maps
DefaultFlyQuest ban
50%60%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsedge KZG +10%KZG · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
2. BanKZG remove Nuke
3. BanFlyQuest remove Cache
4. BanKZG remove Anubis
5. BanFlyQuest remove Default
6. BanKZG remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (75% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:7
FlyQuest 75%KZG 25%
The model gave 75% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 70%
Series resultFlyQuest 13:7
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1