PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Oceania Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#60 in the world · win 1:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Infernopossible decider
67%57%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +10%LFO 8 · 3 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
73%50%
FlyQuest · 7 mapsedge FlyQuest +23%LFO 8 · 0 maps
Dust2LFO 8 ban
70%40%
FlyQuest · 6 mapsedge FlyQuest +30%LFO 8 · 1 map
NukeFlyQuest ban
67%43%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +24%LFO 8 · 3 maps
CacheFlyQuest ban
67%67%
FlyQuest · 2 mapsnearly even +0%LFO 8 · 2 maps
AncientLFO 8 ban
60%33%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge FlyQuest +27%LFO 8 · 2 maps
DefaultLFO 8 pick
40%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge LFO 8 +10%LFO 8 · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Cache
2. BanLFO 8 remove Dust2
3. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
4. PickLFO 8 take Default
5. BanLFO 8 remove Ancient
6. BanFlyQuest remove Nuke
DeciderInferno (67% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
FlyQuest 40%LFO 8 60%
The model gave 60% on LFO 8 — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 76%
Series resultFlyQuest 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1