ANZC Locals Brisbane 2026 Season 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#67 in the world · win 13:8series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 13:8
madlikewizards#336 in the world · loss 8:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
75%43%
FlyQuest · 8 mapsedge FlyQuest +32%madlikewizards · 3 maps
Anubismadlikewizards ban
69%50%
FlyQuest · 9 mapsedge FlyQuest +19%madlikewizards · 0 maps
CacheFlyQuest ban
75%63%
FlyQuest · 4 mapsedge FlyQuest +12%madlikewizards · 4 maps
Infernomadlikewizards ban
73%60%
FlyQuest · 7 mapsedge FlyQuest +13%madlikewizards · 1 map
NukeFlyQuest ban
75%50%
FlyQuest · 4 mapsedge FlyQuest +25%madlikewizards · 2 maps
Ancientmadlikewizards ban
57%50%
FlyQuest · 3 mapsedge FlyQuest +7%madlikewizards · 0 maps
MirageFlyQuest ban
50%43%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsedge FlyQuest +7%madlikewizards · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Mirage
2. Banmadlikewizards remove Ancient
3. BanFlyQuest remove Cache
4. Banmadlikewizards remove Inferno
5. BanFlyQuest remove Nuke
6. Banmadlikewizards remove Anubis
DeciderDust2 (75% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:8
FlyQuest 80%madlikewizards 20%
The model gave 80% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 80%
Series resultFlyQuest 13:8
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1