Hero Esports Asian Champions League 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#67 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEXVOID#102 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
OverpassNEXVOID ban
50%50%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsnearly even +0%NEXVOID · 4 maps
AncientNEXVOID pick
40%67%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge NEXVOID +27%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Dust2FlyQuest ban
50%71%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsedge NEXVOID +21%NEXVOID · 3 maps
InfernoFlyQuest ban
50%57%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsedge NEXVOID +7%NEXVOID · 3 maps
NukeFlyQuest pick
60%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge FlyQuest +10%NEXVOID · 2 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%40%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsedge FlyQuest +10%NEXVOID · 1 map
MirageNEXVOID ban
40%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge NEXVOID +10%NEXVOID · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Dust2
2. BanNEXVOID remove Mirage
3. PickFlyQuest take Nuke
4. PickNEXVOID take Ancient
5. BanNEXVOID remove Overpass
6. BanFlyQuest remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (50% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
FlyQuest 53%NEXVOID 47%
The model gave 53% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Dust2prediction missed13:4
FlyQuest 26%NEXVOID 74%
The model gave 74% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 64%
Series resultFlyQuest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2