IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
FlyQuest#60 in the world · win 2:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 2:0
NEXVOID#121 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoNEXVOID pick
67%69%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsnearly even -2%NEXVOID · 12 maps
AncientFlyQuest ban
60%87%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge NEXVOID +27%NEXVOID · 11 maps
Dust2possible decider
56%40%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +16%NEXVOID · 6 maps
NukeNEXVOID ban
57%38%
FlyQuest · 3 mapsedge FlyQuest +19%NEXVOID · 4 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
67%60%
FlyQuest · 5 mapsedge FlyQuest +7%NEXVOID · 1 map
CacheNEXVOID ban
50%33%
FlyQuest · 0 mapsedge FlyQuest +17%NEXVOID · 2 maps
MirageFlyQuest ban
40%50%
FlyQuest · 1 mapedge NEXVOID +10%NEXVOID · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFlyQuest remove Mirage
2. BanNEXVOID remove Cache
3. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
4. PickNEXVOID take Inferno
5. BanNEXVOID remove Nuke
6. BanFlyQuest remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (56% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed13:7
FlyQuest 45%NEXVOID 55%
The model gave 55% on NEXVOID — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
FlyQuest 60%NEXVOID 40%
The model gave 60% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 75%
Series resultFlyQuest 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2