ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#36 in the world · win 2:0series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
aimclub#98 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Anubisaimclub ban
50%50%
fnatic · 10 mapsnearly even +0%aimclub · 0 maps
Infernofnatic pick
75%67%
fnatic · 8 mapsedge fnatic +8%aimclub · 2 maps
Mirageaimclub ban
62%40%
fnatic · 9 mapsedge fnatic +22%aimclub · 1 map
Ancientfnatic ban
56%50%
fnatic · 5 mapsedge fnatic +6%aimclub · 2 maps
Dust2aimclub pick
36%50%
fnatic · 7 mapsedge aimclub +14%aimclub · 0 maps
Overpassfnatic ban
40%50%
fnatic · 1 mapedge aimclub +10%aimclub · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Overpass
2. Banaimclub remove Anubis
3. Pickfnatic take Inferno
4. Pickaimclub take Dust2
5. Banaimclub remove Mirage
6. Banfnatic remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
fnatic 34%aimclub 66%
The model gave 66% on aimclub — the map was taken by fnatic.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
fnatic 73%aimclub 27%
The model gave 73% on fnatic — the map was taken by fnatic.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 74%
Series resultfnatic 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2