ESL Challenger League Season 51 Europe Cup 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#37 in the world · win 2:1series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Leo#117 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed13:4
fnatic 47%Leo 53%
The model gave 53% on Leo — the map was taken by fnatic.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
fnatic 53%Leo 47%
The model gave 53% on fnatic — the map was taken by Leo.
Anubisprediction correct13:10
fnatic 50%Leo 50%
The model gave 50% on fnatic — the map was taken by fnatic.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 69%
Series resultfnatic 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3