ROG JOURNEY Summer 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
fnatic#36 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Metizport#52 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragefnatic ban
64%50%
fnatic · 10 mapsedge fnatic +14%Metizport · 2 maps
Anubispossible decider
53%50%
fnatic · 11 mapsnearly even +3%Metizport · 0 maps
Infernofnatic pick
77%60%
fnatic · 9 mapsedge fnatic +17%Metizport · 1 map
Dust2Metizport ban
42%50%
fnatic · 8 mapsedge Metizport +8%Metizport · 0 maps
AncientMetizport ban
56%50%
fnatic · 5 mapsedge fnatic +6%Metizport · 0 maps
OverpassMetizport pick
40%50%
fnatic · 1 mapedge Metizport +10%Metizport · 4 maps
Nukefnatic ban
50%57%
fnatic · 0 mapsedge Metizport +7%Metizport · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Nuke
2. BanMetizport remove Dust2
3. Pickfnatic take Inferno
4. PickMetizport take Overpass
5. BanMetizport remove Ancient
6. Banfnatic remove Mirage
DeciderAnubis (53% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct7:13
fnatic 37%Metizport 63%
The model gave 63% on Metizport — the map was taken by Metizport.
Mirageprediction missed6:13
fnatic 67%Metizport 33%
The model gave 67% on fnatic — the map was taken by Metizport.
Model check result
Model favoritefnatic · 67%
Series resultMetizport 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2