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Stake Pulse Beat II · BO3
pre-match prediction
fnatic#37 in the world
series probability
63%37%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Phantom#59 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientPhantom pick
65%57%
fnatic · 13 mapsedge fnatic +8%Phantom · 17 maps
Anubisfnatic pick
73%50%
fnatic · 11 mapsedge fnatic +23%Phantom · 6 maps
Dust2Phantom ban
62%50%
fnatic · 9 mapsedge fnatic +12%Phantom · 8 maps
CachePhantom ban
73%33%
fnatic · 11 mapsedge fnatic +40%Phantom · 2 maps
Miragefnatic ban
45%44%
fnatic · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Phantom · 5 maps
Infernopossible decider
67%70%
fnatic · 5 mapsnearly even -3%Phantom · 6 maps
Nukefnatic ban
50%50%
fnatic · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Phantom · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. Banfnatic remove Nuke
2. BanPhantom remove Cache
3. Pickfnatic take Anubis
4. PickPhantom take Ancient
5. BanPhantom remove Dust2
6. Banfnatic remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (67% / 70%)