PGL Bucharest 2027 Open Qualifier 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
FOKUS#48 in the world · loss 9:13series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 9:13
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · win 13:9The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Cachepossible decider
78%30%
FOKUS · 14 mapsedge FOKUS +48%Nordic Partners · 6 maps
NukeNordic Partners ban
53%50%
FOKUS · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Nordic Partners · 4 maps
AnubisFOKUS ban
63%50%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge FOKUS +13%Nordic Partners · 12 maps
Dust2Nordic Partners ban
44%29%
FOKUS · 12 mapsedge FOKUS +15%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
38%50%
FOKUS · 9 mapsedge Nordic Partners +12%Nordic Partners · 6 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
47%33%
FOKUS · 11 mapsedge FOKUS +14%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
InfernoFOKUS ban
33%29%
FOKUS · 5 mapsnearly even +4%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
2. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
3. BanFOKUS remove Anubis
4. BanNordic Partners remove Dust2
5. BanFOKUS remove Inferno
6. BanNordic Partners remove Nuke
DeciderCache (78% / 30%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed9:13
FOKUS 66%Nordic Partners 34%
The model gave 66% on FOKUS — the map was taken by Nordic Partners.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 69%
Series resultNordic Partners 9:13
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1