PGL Bucharest 2027 Open Qualifier 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
FOKUS#48 in the world · win 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Younglings#214 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FOKUS ban
41%50%
FOKUS · 13 mapsedge Younglings +9%Younglings · 4 maps
CacheFOKUS pick
79%60%
FOKUS · 15 mapsedge FOKUS +19%Younglings · 1 map
AncientYounglings pick
50%29%
FOKUS · 12 mapsedge FOKUS +21%Younglings · 3 maps
MirageFOKUS ban
38%56%
FOKUS · 9 mapsedge Younglings +18%Younglings · 5 maps
NukeYounglings ban
53%50%
FOKUS · 13 mapsnearly even +3%Younglings · 0 maps
Anubispossible decider
63%40%
FOKUS · 4 mapsedge FOKUS +23%Younglings · 1 map
InfernoYounglings ban
33%50%
FOKUS · 5 mapsedge Younglings +17%Younglings · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFOKUS remove Mirage
2. BanYounglings remove Nuke
3. PickFOKUS take Cache
4. PickYounglings take Ancient
5. BanYounglings remove Inferno
6. BanFOKUS remove Dust2
DeciderAnubis (63% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:3
FOKUS 69%Younglings 31%
The model gave 69% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Nukeprediction correct13:3
FOKUS 56%Younglings 44%
The model gave 56% on FOKUS — the map was taken by FOKUS.
Model check result
Model favoriteFOKUS · 72%
Series resultFOKUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2