CCT 2026 Europe Series 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
FORZE Reload#94 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BAKS#106 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheBAKS pick
69%69%
FORZE Reload · 9 mapsnearly even +0%BAKS · 25 maps
Dust2BAKS ban
67%40%
FORZE Reload · 14 mapsedge FORZE Reload +27%BAKS · 16 maps
NukeFORZE Reload pick
67%41%
FORZE Reload · 11 mapsedge FORZE Reload +26%BAKS · 13 maps
Miragepossible decider
56%67%
FORZE Reload · 12 mapsedge BAKS +11%BAKS · 8 maps
AncientFORZE Reload ban
60%70%
FORZE Reload · 6 mapsedge BAKS +10%BAKS · 6 maps
AnubisBAKS ban
46%50%
FORZE Reload · 9 mapsnearly even -4%BAKS · 0 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
50%31%
FORZE Reload · 0 mapsedge FORZE Reload +19%BAKS · 9 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
2. BanBAKS remove Anubis
3. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
4. PickBAKS take Cache
5. BanBAKS remove Dust2
6. BanFORZE Reload remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (56% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
FORZE Reload 77%BAKS 23%
The model gave 77% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Cacheprediction missed13:0
FORZE Reload 47%BAKS 53%
The model gave 53% on BAKS — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 50%
Series resultFORZE Reload 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2