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CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
FORZE Reload#75 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Fire Flux#103 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FORZE Reload ban
64%55%
FORZE Reload · 10 mapsedge FORZE Reload +9%Fire Flux · 16 maps
MirageFire Flux ban
46%50%
FORZE Reload · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Fire Flux · 12 maps
AnubisFire Flux pick
50%65%
FORZE Reload · 6 mapsedge Fire Flux +15%Fire Flux · 13 maps
Cachepossible decider
67%60%
FORZE Reload · 8 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%Fire Flux · 11 maps
NukeFORZE Reload pick
67%50%
FORZE Reload · 8 mapsedge FORZE Reload +17%Fire Flux · 8 maps
InfernoFORZE Reload ban
50%64%
FORZE Reload · 0 mapsedge Fire Flux +14%Fire Flux · 10 maps
AncientFire Flux ban
63%25%
FORZE Reload · 4 mapsedge FORZE Reload +38%Fire Flux · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFORZE Reload remove Inferno
2. BanFire Flux remove Ancient
3. PickFORZE Reload take Nuke
4. PickFire Flux take Anubis
5. BanFire Flux remove Mirage
6. BanFORZE Reload remove Dust2
DeciderCache (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction correct6:13
FORZE Reload 33%Fire Flux 67%
The model gave 67% on Fire Flux — the map was taken by Fire Flux.
Nukeprediction correct13:11
FORZE Reload 69%Fire Flux 31%
The model gave 69% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Cacheprediction correct13:3
FORZE Reload 57%Fire Flux 43%
The model gave 57% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 58%
Series resultFORZE Reload 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map3 of 3