CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
FORZE Reload#70 in the world · win 1:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
megoshort#179 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
46%50%
FORZE Reload · 9 mapsnearly even -4%megoshort · 12 maps
Dust2megoshort ban
64%54%
FORZE Reload · 10 mapsedge FORZE Reload +10%megoshort · 9 maps
Ancientmegoshort pick
63%60%
FORZE Reload · 4 mapsnearly even +3%megoshort · 11 maps
CacheFORZE Reload pick
67%56%
FORZE Reload · 8 mapsedge FORZE Reload +11%megoshort · 5 maps
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
50%57%
FORZE Reload · 6 mapsedge megoshort +7%megoshort · 3 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
67%50%
FORZE Reload · 8 mapsedge FORZE Reload +17%megoshort · 0 maps
DefaultFORZE Reload ban
40%50%
FORZE Reload · 1 mapedge megoshort +10%megoshort · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickFORZE Reload take Cache
4. Pickmegoshort take Ancient
5. Banmegoshort remove Dust2
6. BanFORZE Reload remove Default
DeciderMirage (46% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
FORZE Reload 40%megoshort 60%
The model gave 60% on megoshort — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 67%
Series resultFORZE Reload 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1