CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
FORZE Reload#166 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Younglingsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageYounglings pick
43%57%
FORZE Reload · 3 mapsedge Younglings +14%Younglings · 3 maps
Cachepossible decider
57%60%
FORZE Reload · 3 mapsnearly even -3%Younglings · 1 map
AncientFORZE Reload pick
60%33%
FORZE Reload · 1 mapedge FORZE Reload +27%Younglings · 2 maps
NukeYounglings ban
57%50%
FORZE Reload · 3 mapsedge FORZE Reload +7%Younglings · 0 maps
AnubisFORZE Reload ban
50%50%
FORZE Reload · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Younglings · 0 maps
Dust2FORZE Reload ban
40%60%
FORZE Reload · 1 mapedge Younglings +20%Younglings · 1 map
DefaultYounglings ban
40%50%
FORZE Reload · 1 mapedge Younglings +10%Younglings · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFORZE Reload remove Anubis
2. BanYounglings remove Nuke
3. PickFORZE Reload take Ancient
4. PickYounglings take Mirage
5. BanYounglings remove Default
6. BanFORZE Reload remove Dust2
DeciderCache (57% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
FORZE Reload 73%Younglings 27%
The model gave 73% on FORZE Reload — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
FORZE Reload 33%Younglings 67%
The model gave 67% on Younglings — the map was taken by FORZE Reload.
Model check result
Model favoriteFORZE Reload · 50%
Series resultFORZE Reload 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2