FRAG 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
Foxtrotloss 1:2series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:2
EMPIRE#172 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed3:13
Foxtrot 53%EMPIRE 47%
The model gave 53% on Foxtrot — the map was taken by EMPIRE.
Nukeprediction missed13:10
Foxtrot 47%EMPIRE 53%
The model gave 53% on EMPIRE — the map was taken by Foxtrot.
Overpassprediction missed17:19
Foxtrot 50%EMPIRE 50%
The model gave 50% on Foxtrot — the map was taken by EMPIRE.
Model check result
Model favoriteEMPIRE · 62%
Series resultEMPIRE 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3