FRAG 20 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Marsborne#84 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
Not enough maps played over 3 months to build a veto prediction.
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed4:13
FRZ 53%Marsborne 47%
The model gave 53% on FRZ — the map was taken by Marsborne.
Ancientprediction correct11:13
FRZ 47%Marsborne 53%
The model gave 53% on Marsborne — the map was taken by Marsborne.
Model check result
Model favoriteFRZ · 50%
Series resultMarsborne 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2