PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
88%12%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageTYLOO pick
55%60%
FURIA · 16 mapsedge TYLOO +5%TYLOO · 11 maps
Ancientpossible decider
50%55%
FURIA · 14 mapsedge TYLOO +5%TYLOO · 7 maps
NukeTYLOO ban
53%33%
FURIA · 13 mapsedge FURIA +20%TYLOO · 5 maps
CacheFURIA ban
50%63%
FURIA · 12 mapsedge TYLOO +13%TYLOO · 4 maps
InfernoFURIA pick
69%45%
FURIA · 9 mapsedge FURIA +24%TYLOO · 7 maps
Dust2TYLOO ban
53%50%
FURIA · 13 mapsnearly even +3%TYLOO · 0 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
33%29%
FURIA · 2 mapsnearly even +4%TYLOO · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFURIA remove Anubis
2. BanTYLOO remove Dust2
3. PickFURIA take Inferno
4. PickTYLOO take Mirage
5. BanTYLOO remove Nuke
6. BanFURIA remove Cache
DeciderAncient (50% / 55%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:5
FURIA 71%TYLOO 29%
The model gave 71% on FURIA — the map was taken by FURIA.
Mirageprediction missed13:2
FURIA 48%TYLOO 52%
The model gave 52% on TYLOO — the map was taken by FURIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteFURIA · 88%
Series resultFURIA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2