BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
FUT#8 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Vitality#2 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2FUT ban
33%50%
FUT · 8 mapsedge Vitality +17%Vitality · 8 maps
AncientVitality ban
67%50%
FUT · 14 mapsedge FUT +17%Vitality · 0 maps
MirageVitality ban
69%44%
FUT · 9 mapsedge FUT +25%Vitality · 5 maps
NukeVitality pick
30%73%
FUT · 6 mapsedge Vitality +43%Vitality · 7 maps
AnubisFUT pick
67%22%
FUT · 5 mapsedge FUT +45%Vitality · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
38%67%
FUT · 4 mapsedge Vitality +29%Vitality · 2 maps
InfernoFUT ban
50%67%
FUT · 0 mapsedge Vitality +17%Vitality · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanFUT remove Inferno
2. BanVitality remove Ancient
3. PickFUT take Anubis
4. PickVitality take Nuke
5. BanVitality remove Mirage
6. BanFUT remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (38% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed7:13
FUT 89%Vitality 11%
The model gave 89% on FUT — the map was taken by Vitality.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
FUT 31%Vitality 69%
The model gave 69% on Vitality — the map was taken by Vitality.
Model check result
Model favoriteVitality · 72%
Series resultVitality 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2