Logitech G Play Connect 2026 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
G2 Ares#103 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
43%52%
G2 Ares · 19 mapsedge Rune Eaters +9%Rune Eaters · 25 maps
MirageG2 Ares pick
50%61%
G2 Ares · 18 mapsedge Rune Eaters +11%Rune Eaters · 19 maps
AncientG2 Ares ban
53%47%
G2 Ares · 13 mapsedge G2 Ares +6%Rune Eaters · 15 maps
Infernopossible decider
43%50%
G2 Ares · 17 mapsedge Rune Eaters +7%Rune Eaters · 10 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
42%50%
G2 Ares · 8 mapsedge Rune Eaters +8%Rune Eaters · 0 maps
AnubisG2 Ares ban
38%67%
G2 Ares · 4 mapsedge Rune Eaters +29%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
CacheRune Eaters ban
50%60%
G2 Ares · 4 mapsedge Rune Eaters +10%Rune Eaters · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 Ares remove Anubis
2. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
3. PickG2 Ares take Mirage
4. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
5. BanRune Eaters remove Cache
6. BanG2 Ares remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (43% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
G2 Ares 58%Rune Eaters 42%
The model gave 58% on G2 Ares — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Dust2prediction missed16:12
G2 Ares 39%Rune Eaters 61%
The model gave 61% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by G2 Ares.
Mirageprediction correct9:13
G2 Ares 39%Rune Eaters 61%
The model gave 61% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Ares · 54%
Series resultRune Eaters 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3