IEM Cologne Major 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2#7 in the world · win 2:0series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Legacy#6 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2G2 ban
38%69%
G2 · 9 mapsedge Legacy +31%Legacy · 9 maps
AncientLegacy ban
50%33%
G2 · 8 mapsedge G2 +17%Legacy · 8 maps
MirageLegacy pick
58%82%
G2 · 8 mapsedge Legacy +24%Legacy · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
56%67%
G2 · 5 mapsedge Legacy +11%Legacy · 8 maps
NukeLegacy ban
50%45%
G2 · 0 mapsedge G2 +5%Legacy · 7 maps
OverpassG2 pick
67%60%
G2 · 5 mapsedge G2 +7%Legacy · 1 map
AnubisG2 ban
33%60%
G2 · 2 mapsedge Legacy +27%Legacy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 remove Anubis
2. BanLegacy remove Ancient
3. PickG2 take Overpass
4. PickLegacy take Mirage
5. BanLegacy remove Nuke
6. BanG2 remove Dust2
DeciderInferno (56% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:7
G2 20%Legacy 80%
The model gave 80% on Legacy — the map was taken by G2.
Overpassprediction correct13:4
G2 60%Legacy 40%
The model gave 60% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Model check result
Model favoriteLegacy · 60%
Series resultG2 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2