Esports World Cup 2026 · BO1
result vs prediction
G2#7 in the world · win 13:11series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 13:11
M80#27 in the world · loss 11:13The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientM80 ban
40%46%
G2 · 6 mapsedge M80 +6%M80 · 9 maps
Miragepossible decider
67%60%
G2 · 8 mapsedge G2 +7%M80 · 6 maps
InfernoM80 ban
71%50%
G2 · 3 mapsedge G2 +21%M80 · 10 maps
Dust2G2 ban
40%50%
G2 · 6 mapsedge M80 +10%M80 · 4 maps
OverpassM80 ban
67%40%
G2 · 5 mapsedge G2 +27%M80 · 1 map
AnubisG2 ban
25%60%
G2 · 4 mapsedge M80 +35%M80 · 1 map
CacheG2 ban
50%67%
G2 · 0 mapsedge M80 +17%M80 · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 remove Anubis
2. BanM80 remove Ancient
3. BanG2 remove Dust2
4. BanM80 remove Overpass
5. BanG2 remove Cache
6. BanM80 remove Inferno
DeciderMirage (67% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
G2 57%M80 43%
The model gave 57% on G2 — the map was taken by G2.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 · 84%
Series resultG2 13:11
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1