BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
G2#7 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Spirit#1 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Miragepossible decider
69%69%
G2 · 9 mapsnearly even +0%Spirit · 12 maps
Dust2Spirit pick
40%67%
G2 · 6 mapsedge Spirit +27%Spirit · 14 maps
AnubisG2 ban
40%75%
G2 · 6 mapsedge Spirit +35%Spirit · 8 maps
AncientG2 ban
27%80%
G2 · 7 mapsedge Spirit +53%Spirit · 6 maps
OverpassG2 pick
67%33%
G2 · 5 mapsedge G2 +34%Spirit · 2 maps
CacheSpirit ban
60%44%
G2 · 1 mapedge G2 +16%Spirit · 5 maps
InfernoSpirit ban
80%50%
G2 · 6 mapsedge G2 +30%Spirit · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanG2 remove Anubis
2. BanSpirit remove Inferno
3. PickG2 take Overpass
4. PickSpirit take Dust2
5. BanSpirit remove Cache
6. BanG2 remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (69% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
G2 23%Spirit 77%
The model gave 77% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Cacheprediction missed9:13
G2 68%Spirit 32%
The model gave 68% on G2 — the map was taken by Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit · 89%
Series resultSpirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2