CCT 2026 South America Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 1:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
75%54%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Galorys +21%BORRACHEIROS · 9 maps
Dust2BORRACHEIROS ban
36%50%
Galorys · 7 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +14%BORRACHEIROS · 6 maps
Anubispossible decider
55%50%
Galorys · 7 mapsedge Galorys +5%BORRACHEIROS · 4 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
43%36%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Galorys +7%BORRACHEIROS · 7 maps
MirageGalorys ban
50%46%
Galorys · 0 mapsnearly even +4%BORRACHEIROS · 9 maps
NukeBORRACHEIROS ban
75%25%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge Galorys +50%BORRACHEIROS · 4 maps
DefaultBORRACHEIROS pick
50%75%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge BORRACHEIROS +25%BORRACHEIROS · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Mirage
2. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Nuke
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickBORRACHEIROS take Default
5. BanBORRACHEIROS remove Dust2
6. BanGalorys remove Inferno
DeciderAnubis (55% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Galorys 25%BORRACHEIROS 75%
The model gave 75% on BORRACHEIROS — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 80%
Series resultGalorys 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1