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ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Galorys#122 in the world
series probability
32%68%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Imperial#56 in the world
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageImperial pick
60%67%
Galorys · 1 mapedge Imperial +7%Imperial · 17 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
33%68%
Galorys · 2 mapsedge Imperial +35%Imperial · 15 maps
NukeGalorys pick
75%71%
Galorys · 4 mapsnearly even +4%Imperial · 13 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
40%58%
Galorys · 6 mapsedge Imperial +18%Imperial · 8 maps
AncientImperial ban
71%50%
Galorys · 10 mapsedge Galorys +21%Imperial · 0 maps
Cachepossible decider
50%67%
Galorys · 2 mapsedge Imperial +17%Imperial · 8 maps
AnubisImperial ban
60%57%
Galorys · 6 mapsnearly even +3%Imperial · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Inferno
2. BanImperial remove Ancient
3. PickGalorys take Nuke
4. PickImperial take Mirage
5. BanImperial remove Anubis
6. BanGalorys remove Dust2
DeciderCache (50% / 67%)