BetBoom Storm Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Keyd Stars#155 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
62%53%
Galorys · 9 mapsedge Galorys +9%Keyd Stars · 15 maps
Dust2Galorys ban
43%54%
Galorys · 10 mapsedge Keyd Stars +11%Keyd Stars · 9 maps
NukeKeyd Stars ban
67%31%
Galorys · 8 mapsedge Galorys +36%Keyd Stars · 9 maps
MirageKeyd Stars pick
57%56%
Galorys · 3 mapsnearly even +1%Keyd Stars · 12 maps
Overpasspossible decider
55%60%
Galorys · 7 mapsedge Keyd Stars +5%Keyd Stars · 1 map
AnubisKeyd Stars ban
57%50%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Galorys +7%Keyd Stars · 4 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
33%43%
Galorys · 2 mapsedge Keyd Stars +10%Keyd Stars · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Inferno
2. BanKeyd Stars remove Nuke
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickKeyd Stars take Mirage
5. BanKeyd Stars remove Anubis
6. BanGalorys remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (55% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:10
Galorys 36%Keyd Stars 64%
The model gave 64% on Keyd Stars — the map was taken by Galorys.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
Galorys 62%Keyd Stars 38%
The model gave 62% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteKeyd Stars · 51%
Series resultGalorys 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2