BetBoom Storm Season 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Galorys#68 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 1:2
LP#107 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Galorys ban
50%54%
Galorys · 6 mapsnearly even -4%LP · 9 maps
AncientGalorys pick
60%50%
Galorys · 6 mapsedge Galorys +10%LP · 4 maps
NukeLP pick
44%63%
Galorys · 5 mapsedge LP +19%LP · 4 maps
OverpassLP ban
38%50%
Galorys · 4 mapsedge LP +12%LP · 2 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
50%67%
Galorys · 0 mapsedge LP +17%LP · 5 maps
MirageLP ban
71%60%
Galorys · 3 mapsedge Galorys +11%LP · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanGalorys remove Inferno
2. BanLP remove Mirage
3. PickGalorys take Ancient
4. PickLP take Nuke
5. BanLP remove Overpass
6. BanGalorys remove Dust2
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:2
Galorys 30%LP 70%
The model gave 70% on LP — the map was taken by Galorys.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
Galorys 65%LP 35%
The model gave 65% on Galorys — the map was taken by LP.
Ancientprediction missed1:13
Galorys 60%LP 40%
The model gave 60% on Galorys — the map was taken by LP.
Model check result
Model favoriteLP · 63%
Series resultLP 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 3